$\mathbb{P}$robably Approximately Wrong

An infrequent blog, by Nicola Branchini

About me

This very infrequent blog is by me, Nicola Branchini.
I am a graduate researcher in Statistics in the School of Mathematics at the University of Edinburgh, advised by Prof. Víctor Elvira.

I am interested broadly in statistical methodology in Bayesian computation, efficient uncertainty quantification, decision making, probabilistic reasoning, broadly speaking computational statistics and machine learning.


I like collaborating with people. If you do research in very related topics, feel free to drop me an email. Some specific topics I am working on now directly and/or want to use in my work in the future are:

News

Reviewing

Journals

Statistics and Computing, Statistics and Probability Letters

Conferences

AISTATS 2023, AABI (workshop) 2023, NeurIPS 2023, ICLR 2024, AISTATS 2024, NeurIPS workshop on Bayesian decision making and uncertainty 2024, AISTATS 2025

Talks & Posters

Awards

"Basically, I’m not interested in doing research and I never have been. I’m interested in understanding, which is quite a different thing. And often to understand something you have to work it out yourself because no one else has done it"

- David Blackwell

"Getting numbers is easy; getting numbers you can trust is hard."

- Ron Kohavi, Diane Tang, Ysa Xu (from the book "Trustworthy Online Controlled Experiments")

Some background

Previously, I was a Research Assistant at the Alan Turing Institute, working within the Warwick Machine Learning Group and supervised by Prof. Theo Damoulas. Previous to that, I was a Master’s student in the School of Informatics at the University of Edinburgh where I was supervised by Prof. Víctor Elvira working on auxiliary particle filters. As undergrad, I studied Computer Science at the University of Warwick, where I did my BSc dissertation on reproducing AlphaZero supervised by Dr. Paolo Turrini.

Random selection of nice reads

Worth having the physical version.

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